Solar Flare Northern Lights Update: NOAA Forecasts Aurora for Northern US States After M5.7 Eruption

Last Updated: May 12, 2026, 02:54 EDT

A powerful M5.7 solar flare from sunspot region AR4436 has launched a coronal mass ejection toward Earth. Forecasters at NOAA and the Met Office predict a glancing blow will trigger G1 geomagnetic storming, potentially bringing the northern lights to several northern U.S. states this midweek.

Solar Flare Northern Lights.
Solar Flare Northern Lights.

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The sun has just released a powerful M5.7 solar flare, sending a stream of charged particles hurtling toward Earth’s atmosphere. This moderate to strong eruption originated from the active sunspot region AR4436 and peaked on May 10, 2026. 

The blast also hurled out a fast-moving coronal mass ejection (CME) travelling at some 650 kilometers per second, the NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) said. While the bulk of the solar material is projected to pass behind Earth’s orbit, a glancing blow is anticipated by early May 13, 2026. 

This solar activity has already triggered radio blackouts over the Atlantic and is now setting the stage for a potential solar flare northern lights display across high-latitude regions. 

Will the Northern Lights be visible in the US?

Current modeling from NOAA and the U.K. Met Office suggests that the incoming CME will likely spark G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm conditions. This level of activity, not as intense as the historic G5 storms of 2024, often pushes the aurora borealis further south than usual.

Feature

Details of Solar Event

Flare Classification

M5.7 (Moderate-Strong)

Source Region

Sunspot AR4436

CME Arrival Window

Early Wednesday, May 13, 2026

Storm Intensity

G1 (Minor) Geomagnetic Storm

Potential Visibility

Northern Tier US States & Scotland

States with the Best Solar Flare Northern Lights Viewing Chances

  • Washington and Idaho: Northern horizons may see a green glow.

  • Montana and North Dakota: Clear skies could offer vibrant displays.

  • Minnesota and Wisconsin: Higher latitudes are favored for sightings.

  • Michigan and Maine: Northernmost tips should remain on high alert.

Impact of the Coronal Mass Ejection and Solar Flare

The sun solar flare has already made its presence felt on Earth. As the M5.7 flare ionized the upper atmosphere, it caused a moderate (R2) radio blackout, disrupting high-frequency communications used by aviators and mariners.

Official Safety and Technical Briefing:

  • Radio Disruptions: High-frequency (HF) radio signals may continue to experience fading or total blackouts during further M-class eruptions.

  • Satellite Operations: Minor impacts on satellite orientation are possible during G1 storming.

  • Power Grids: Weak power grid fluctuations can occur in the extreme northern latitudes, but are generally not a cause for public concern.

"Sunspot region AR4436 is currently rotating into Earth's 'strike zone,'" noted NOAA officials. This means that any additional solar flare activity from this region in the coming days will be more directly aimed at our planet, potentially increasing the intensity of future aurora forecasts.

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As the sun approaches its solar maximum in 2026, events like this coronal mass ejection are becoming more frequent. While tonight remains relatively quiet, skywatchers should prepare for enhanced northern lights activity on Wednesday night. Stay tuned to official NOAA alerts for real-time updates on this evolving space weather story.

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Harshita Singh
Harshita Singh

Senior Content Writer

Harshita Singh specializes in US affairs and general knowledge, simplifying intricate geopolitical and historical subjects into clear, digestible insights for learners. Holding a BA (Hons) in English from the University of Delhi and with over three years of experience in educational writing, she produces authoritative, thoroughly researched content that empowers readers to engage confidently with global current affairs. For inquiries, you can reach out to her at harshita.singh@jagrannewmedia.com.

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First Published: May 12, 2026, 12:24 IST

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